{"id":806,"date":"2012-04-20T20:25:42","date_gmt":"2012-04-21T01:25:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/?p=806"},"modified":"2012-04-20T20:25:42","modified_gmt":"2012-04-21T01:25:42","slug":"district-leadership-succession","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/2012\/04\/20\/district-leadership-succession\/","title":{"rendered":"District leadership succession"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a>Does serving as LGM and LGET make for a better District Governor?\u00a0 Interestingly — the 2010-11 districts WITHOUT a regular progression do measurably better, an average of 6 places higher in the rankings, and 8 percentage points more of them are distinguished!<\/p>\n

The list of districts are those that followed a progression — the DG had been LGM and LGET in the two immediately preceding years. That was the hard part (including dealing with name variations); getting a list of distinguished districts is relatively easy, TI publishes that list every year.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

For districts WITH progression, LGM->LGET->DG ending in 2010-11:<\/span>
\n59 districts average ranking is 43.2.
\n31 out of 59 districts were distinguished, or 52.5%.
\nDistricts: 2 3 5 6 8 9 11 13 14 15 19 23 24 26 27 28 30 31 32 33 34 35 37 38 39
\n40 42 45 46 47 49 53 54 55 56 58 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 74 75 76
\n78 79 80 81 83 84 86<\/p>\n

For districts WITHOUT progression in 2010-11:<\/span>
\n23 districts average ranking is 37.0 (higher, closer to #1, is better).
\n14 out of 23 districts were distinguished, or 60.9%.<\/p>\n

Is it easier for large districts to be distinguished, or small districts?<\/span>\u00a0 It doesn’t seem like it, there’s essentially no correlation between district size (paid clubs on June 30) and ranking (R-squared is just 6%).<\/p>\n

Here’s the scatterplot graph for all districts from 2004-05 to 2010-11 (large districts that ranked highly are at the top left, small districts that ranked poorly are at the bottom right):<\/p>\n

\"\"
\nIf we group districts by year-end size into 50-club buckets and look at the average DDP ranking for the last seven years, we get this:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Size<\/th>\nCount<\/th>\nAverage
\nRank<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
50-99<\/td>\n156<\/td>\n46.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
100-149<\/td>\n152<\/td>\n41.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
150-199<\/td>\n144<\/td>\n36.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
200-249<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n35.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
250-299<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n28.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
300-361<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n20.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

It looks like a trend of higher ranking (smaller number) as the districts get bigger. But I suspect the average hides a lot of outliers that we see in the graph.<\/p>\n

Is this because the largest districts tend to be where Toastmasters is growing fastest, outside North America?<\/span>\u00a0 If so, might that explain the higher ranking for the larger districts, because there’s lots of potential for growth where there are very large populations and relatively few clubs in proportion to the population?<\/p>\n

In some cases, but certainly not all — for example, D14, Georgia, has 310 clubs, D47 (southern Florida and Bahamas) has 284 clubs. And some overseas districts are rather small, like D76, Japan, with 110 clubs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Does serving as LGM and LGET make for a better District Governor?\u00a0 Interestingly — the 2010-11 districts WITHOUT a regular progression do measurably better, an average of 6 places higher in the rankings, and 8 percentage points more of them are distinguished! The list of districts are those that followed a progression — the DG […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-806","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/806","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=806"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/806\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":872,"href":"https:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/806\/revisions\/872"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=806"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=806"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mikeraffety.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=806"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}